How I See The Market

September 17th, 2009 2:04 PM
Thursday's bond market has opened in positive territory, following suit with stocks. The stock markets are continuing yesterday's positive tone, but to a much lesser scale. The Dow is currently up 23 points while the Nasdaq has gained 4 points. The bond market is currently up 8/32, which will likely improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point.

Neither of today's economic releases are considered to be of high importance to the markets and have not had much influence on this morning's mortgage rates. The Labor Department reported that 545,000 new claims for unemployment benefits were filed last week. This was lower than expected and can be considered negative news for bonds. However, the short period that this report tracks usually means it does not heavily influence trading or mortgage pricing.

August's Housing Starts report was also posted this morning, showing an increase in starts of new homes from July to August. This data helps us measure housing sector strength, but is also not one of the more important reports we see each month. Its results also have had little impact on this morning's mortgage rates.

There is no relevant data scheduled for release tomorrow, so look for the stock markets to influence bond trading. I would not be surprised to see bonds move in the same direction as stocks. Either way, we probably will have a relatively calm day in mortgage rates tomorrow unless something totally unexpected happens.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best in terest of all/any other borrowers.

Posted by RJ Dick on September 17th, 2009 2:04 PMPost a Comment (0)

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