How I See The Market

June 8th, 2010 2:19 PM
Tuesday's bond market has opened in negative territory despite a mixed open in stocks and a lack of economic data to drive trading. The Dow is showing a gain of 11 points while the Nasdaq is currently down 8 points. The bond market is currently down 8/32, but due to some strength in trading late yesterday we will likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates.

There is again no relevant economic data scheduled for release today, but the market is showing some reaction to comments made by Fed Chairman Bernanke late yesterday. In a speech last night he said that the economy is gaining some momentum but that employment concerns remain high. However, he did not indicate when he thinks the Fed will begin to raise key short-term interest rates. His words were basically positive for stocks with a somewhat negative tone for bonds. This is also influencing trading this morning, but to a small degree.

Chairman Bernanke will speak publicly tomorrow to the House Budget Committee on current economic conditions and budget-related matters. His words could again influence the markets enough to affect mortgage rates, but unless he says something surprising, I suspect they will have a minimal impact on tomorrow's mortgage rates.

Tomorrow afternoon brings us the release of the Fed's Beige Book. This data details economic conditions throughout the U.S. by region. It is relied upon heavily by the Federal Reserve to determine monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. If it shows much stronger economic activity than its last release, we could see mortgage rates rise tomorrow after the 2:00 PM ET release. Particularly so if it indicates inflation is growing.

We also have to watch for the results of tomorrow's 10-year Treasury Note auction. Results the sale will be posted at 1:00 PM ET. If investor demand was high for the Notes, we may see bonds rally during afternoon trading, however, weak demand cou ld lead to selling and an increase to mortgage rates.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.


Posted by RJ Dick on June 8th, 2010 2:19 PMPost a Comment (0)

Recent Posts:

Archive:

My Favorite Blogs:

Sites That Link to This Blog:

Ask me about Zero Down, 100% Financing, and NO Closing Costs!


Century 21 Prestige Real Estate 680 Missouri Avenue St. Robert, MO 65584
Phone: Toll Free Phone: Cell: Fax:

Contact Me | Free Home Valuation | Chamber of Commerce Home | Fort Leonard Wood Home Page | Rental Property | Fort Wood MWR | Search Realtor.com | Search Yahoo.com | Video Newsletter | E-newsletter | First Time Buyers | Home Buyer Checklist | For Buyers | Real Estate Glossary | For Sellers | Featured Homes | Applying for a Loan | Your Down Payment | Required Income Calc | Maximum Mortgage Calc | Rent vs Buy Calc | Request Industry Info | 9 Steps to Ownership

Copyright © 2012 Century 21 Prestige Real Estate
Portions Copyright © 2012 a la mode, inc.
Another XSite by a la mode, inc. | Admin LoginTerms of UseSite Map
All rate, payment, and area information are estimates and approximations only.